{"id":578,"date":"2026-03-12T11:26:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:26:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/?p=578"},"modified":"2026-03-12T11:26:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:26:33","slug":"polymarket-%e8%87%aa%e5%8a%a8%e9%a9%be%e9%a9%b6%ef%bc%9a%e8%87%aa%e5%8a%a8%e5%8c%96%e6%a8%a1%e6%8b%9f%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/?p=578","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket \u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\uff1a\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Polymarket \u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\uff1a\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613<\/h1>\n<p>\u624b\u52a8\u76d1\u63a7\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5957\u5229\u673a\u4f1a\u5e76\u6267\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\u65e2\u8017\u65f6\u53c8\u9700\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u4f60\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u4e0d\u5192\u771f\u91d1\u767d\u94f6\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u548c\u4f18\u5316\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\u4f7f\u7528\u81ea\u5b9a\u4e49\u7b56\u7565\u5728 Polymarket \u4e0a\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613\uff08paper trading\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7 API \u76d1\u63a7\u5e02\u573a\u6570\u636e\uff08\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u3001\u4ef7\u5dee\uff09<\/li>\n<li>\u4f7f\u7528 TAIL\uff08\u8d8b\u52bf\u8ddf\u8e2a\uff09\u548c BONDING\uff08\u9006\u5411\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u6267\u884c\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613<\/li>\n<li>\u8ffd\u8e2a\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8868\u73b0\u3001\u76c8\u4e8f\u548c\u80dc\u7387<\/li>\n<li>\u6bcf\u65e5\u5411 Discord \u63a8\u9001\u5305\u542b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5fd7\u548c\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7684\u6458\u8981<\/li>\n<li>\u4ece\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u56de\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u8c03\u6574\u7b56\u7565\u53c2\u6570<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u75db\u70b9<\/h2>\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\u5f88\u5feb\u3002\u624b\u52a8\u4ea4\u6613\u610f\u5473\u7740\u9519\u8fc7\u673a\u4f1a\u3001\u60c5\u7eea\u5316\u51b3\u7b56\u4ee5\u53ca\u96be\u4ee5\u8ffd\u8e2a\u54ea\u4e9b\u7b56\u7565\u6709\u6548\u3002\u5728\u4f60\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u884c\u4e3a\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u7528\u771f\u94b1\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f1a\u6709\u4e8f\u635f\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u529f\u80fd\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/h2>\n<p>\u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\u7cfb\u7edf\u6301\u7eed\u626b\u63cf Polymarket \u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u53ef\u914d\u7f6e\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5e76\u8bb0\u5f55\u6240\u6709\u5185\u5bb9\u4ee5\u4f9b\u5206\u6790\u3002\u4f60\u9192\u6765\u65f6\u5c31\u80fd\u770b\u5230\u5b83&#8221;\u9694\u591c\u4ea4\u6613&#8221;\u7684\u6458\u8981\u2014\u2014\u54ea\u4e9b\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u65e0\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b56\u7565\u793a\u4f8b\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>TAIL<\/strong>\uff1a\u5f53\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u98d9\u5347\u4e14\u8d8b\u52bf\u660e\u786e\u65f6\u8ddf\u968f\u8d8b\u52bf<\/li>\n<li><strong>BONDING<\/strong>\uff1a\u5f53\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u65b0\u95fb\u8fc7\u5ea6\u53cd\u5e94\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u9006\u5411\u5934\u5bf8<\/li>\n<li><strong>SPREAD<\/strong>\uff1a\u8bc6\u522b\u5b9a\u4ef7\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u5957\u5229\u673a\u4f1a<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u6240\u9700\u6280\u80fd<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><code>web_search<\/code> \u6216 <code>web_fetch<\/code>\uff08\u7528\u4e8e\u83b7\u53d6 Polymarket API \u6570\u636e\uff09<\/li>\n<li><code>postgres<\/code> \u6216 SQLite\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5fd7\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8ffd\u8e2a<\/li>\n<li>Discord \u96c6\u6210\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u6bcf\u65e5\u62a5\u544a<\/li>\n<li>Cron job\uff08\u5b9a\u65f6\u4efb\u52a1\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u76d1\u63a7<\/li>\n<li>Sub-agent\uff08\u5b50\u667a\u80fd\u4f53\uff09\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5e76\u884c\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u5982\u4f55\u8bbe\u7f6e<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>\u8bbe\u7f6e\u7528\u4e8e\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5e93\uff1a\n<pre><code class=\"lang-sql language-sql sql\">\nCREATE TABLE paper_trades (\nid SERIAL PRIMARY KEY,\nmarket_id TEXT,\nmarket_name TEXT,\nstrategy TEXT,\ndirection TEXT,\nentry_price DECIMAL,\nexit_price DECIMAL,\nquantity DECIMAL,\npnl DECIMAL,\ntimestamp TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()\n);<\/code><\/pre><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>CREATE TABLE portfolio (\nid SERIAL PRIMARY KEY,\ntotal_value DECIMAL,\ncash DECIMAL,\npositions JSONB,\nupdated_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()\n);<\/p>\n<pre><code>\n2. \u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a Discord \u9891\u9053\u7528\u4e8e\u66f4\u65b0\uff08\u4f8b\u5982 #polymarket-autopilot\uff09\u3002\n\n3. \u5411 OpenClaw \u53d1\u9001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\uff1a\n```text\nYou are a Polymarket paper trading autopilot. Run continuously (via cron every 15 minutes):\n\n1. Fetch current market data from Polymarket API\n2. Analyze opportunities using these strategies:\n   - TAIL: Follow strong trends (&gt;60% probability + volume spike)\n   - BONDING: Contrarian plays on overreactions (sudden drops &gt;10% on news)\n   - SPREAD: Arbitrage when YES+NO &gt; 1.05\n3. Execute paper trades in the database (starting capital: $10,000)\n4. Track portfolio state and update positions\n\nEvery morning at 8 AM, post a summary to Discord #polymarket-autopilot:\n- Yesterday&#039;s trades (entry\/exit prices, P&amp;L)\n- Current portfolio value and open positions\n- Win rate and strategy performance\n- Market insights and recommendations\n\nUse sub-agents to analyze multiple markets in parallel during high-volume periods.\n\nNever use real money. This is paper trading only.<\/code><\/pre>\n<ol start=\"4\">\n<li>\u6839\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u8fed\u4ee3\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u8c03\u6574\u9608\u503c\u3001\u6dfb\u52a0\u65b0\u7b56\u7565\u3001\u5bf9\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u6d4b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>\u76f8\u5173\u94fe\u63a5<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.polymarket.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket API<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/trading\/11\/paper-trading.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613\u6700\u4f73\u5b9e\u8df5<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>\u539f\u6587\u94fe\u63a5<\/strong>\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/AlexAnys\/awesome-openclaw-usecases\/blob\/main\/usecases\/polymarket-autopilot.md\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">English Version<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Polymarket \u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\uff1a\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u6a21\u62df\u4ea4\u6613 \u624b\u52a8\u76d1\u63a7\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5957\u5229\u673a\u4f1a\u5e76\u6267\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\u65e2\u8017\u65f6\u53c8\u9700\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u4f60\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u4e0d\u5192\u771f\u91d1\u767d\u94f6\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b &hellip;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[276],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-openclaw"],"views":143,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/578","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=578"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/578\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":579,"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/578\/revisions\/579"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=578"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.liaoxinghui.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}